WSEM Pickers: Week 3

The "big win" from Week 2 went to Mark: ◢15 on over 6.5 H in the Stinky Nuts / Redux series. He also had the biggest loss, though (◢25 on over 5.5 HR in El Diablos / Islanders series). Mark ended up back at the starting point of ◢100. David's safe playing style is paying off, as he's the only one showing profit so far at ◢115. Zac's habit for playing the odds has dug him into a hole at just ◢49, and he's throwing that all in this week to try to turn things around.
DAVID   ◢115
MARK   ◢100
ZAC   ◢49
Pick:
ELD Sweep ACE
Bet: ◢15
Odds: 1:1
Pick:
ELD sweep ACE
Bet: ◢25
Odds: 1:1
Bayley gets upset because nobody on his team brought beer for him to mooch. Walks off the field and we never see him again. Plus he'll be down 5-0 after the first inning.
Pick:
FRI sweep STN
Bet: ◢4
Odds: 1:1
Just a hunch.
Pick:
Under 64.5 Total R
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 1:1
Pick:
ELD/ACE most K: C. Phillips +0
Bet: ◢20
Odds: 1:1
Round two of making Bayley look like a jackass.
Pick:
ELD sweep ACE
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 1:1
Sweep city
Pick:
Under 66.5 Total H
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 1:1
Pick:
FRI/STN most H: M. Phillips
Bet: ◢10
Odds: 10:1
I own Castle and Werner.
Pick:
FRI/STN most H: M. Brannan
Bet: ◢40
Odds: 6:1
Mark is due. Go big or go garden.
Amount Won:  ◢20
Amount Lost:  ◢5
Open Bets:  ◢5
Net Total:  ◢130
Amount Won:  ◢25
Amount Lost:  ◢30
Open Bets:  ◢15
Net Total:  ◢95
Amount Won:  ◢9
Amount Lost:  ◢40
Open Bets:  ◢18
Net Total:  ◢18

Gameday, 6/1: Week 3 - The Cock Pit

GAMES 1 & 2   —   12:00 PM   —   FIELD A
3 - 3 - 2
.189 .348 18.9 2.84 1.00 3.6
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
4 - 3 - 1
.241 .473 16.0 2.82 1.82 1.4
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 1
2
WP: Strojny (3-0)
0
LP: C. Phillips (3-1)
GAME 2
4
HR: Irwin (1)
4
HR: C. Phillips (3), Shore (1)
GAMES 3 & 4   —   12:00 PM   —   FIELD B
4 - 4 - 0
.228 .496 12.7 7.31 2.62 1.2
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
4 - 6 - 0
.143 .360 14.6 2.50 1.75 2.1
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 3
9
WP: Paquin (1-3)
HR: Nagorski (5), Werner (3,4),
  Paquin (3), M. Brannan (1,2)
4
LP: M. Phillips (0-1)
HR: Hatt (2), Tarcia (1)
GAME 4
2
WP: N. Braden (1-0)
HR: Werner (5), Paquin (4)
1
LP: Hatt (3-1)
HR: Hatt (3)
GAMES 5 & 6   —   2:30 PM   —   FIELD A
5 - 4 - 1
.250 .455 16.0 2.51 1.65 2.0
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
6 - 3 - 1
.241 .473 16.0 2.82 1.82 1.4
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 5
2
LP: P. Baker (0-1)
HR: G. Baker (2)
10
WP: Tomlinson (2-0)
HR: C. Phillips (4), Brown (3),
  Shore (2)
GAME 6
0
LP: Villarreal (3-2)
11
WP: Tomlinson (3-0)
HR: C. Phillips (5,6), Tomlinson (4)
GAMES 7 & 8   —   2:30 PM   —   FIELD B
4 - 4 - 2
.189 .348 18.9 2.84 1.00 3.6
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
3 - 5 - 0
.138 .278 27.0 5.20 1.90 2.2
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 7
1
WP: Strojny (4-0)
HR: Corbett (3)
0
LP: C. Skinner (1-3)
GAME 8
0
LP: Irwin (0-2)
10
WP: Giguere (1-0)
HR: Linebrink (3), Skinner (1)

WSEM Pickers: Week 2

Mark was the "big" winner from Week 1 (+45). He responds by throwing down the most credits in Week 2. On the other side of the coin, David plays things conservative again, while Zac takes a measured approach to try and rebound. Most impressively, with 15 Week 2 picks on the board only two of them were played by multiple Pickers; eight picks weren't played at all.
DAVID   ◢115
MARK   ◢145
ZAC   ◢75.5
Pick:
FRI sweep ACE
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 1:1
Pick:
STN @ DUX Over 6.5 H
Bet: ◢15
Odds: 1:1
Dakota makes Strojny his bitch.
Pick:
ISL @ ELD Over 5.5 HR
Bet: ◢15.5
Odds: 1:1
Game 2 alone will cover this.
Pick:
Over 76.5 RS Week 2
Bet: ◢10
Odds: 1:1
Pick:
ACE @ ISL Over 12.5 RS
Bet: ◢20
Odds: 1:1
JSkin will get this by himself. He's a two way player.
Pick:
CJ vs Bayley more K:  CJ +1.5
Bet: ◢7
Odds: 1:1
CJ > MB
Pick:
Total BB vs H:  H +22.5
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 1:1
Pick:
ISL @ ELD Over 5.5 HR
Bet: ◢25
Odds: 1:1
El Diablos might have 6 in the first inning as Alex Linebrink continues to rebuild for next year.
Pick:
Total BB vs H:  H +22.5
Bet: ◢9
Odds: 1:1
Easy $
Pick:
ROTY = Moore
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 8:1
Pick:
MVP = Strojny
Bet: ◢9
Odds: 13:1
Playing the odds.
Pick:
SHU = C. Skinner
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 8:1
Pick:
MVP = LaDouceur
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 8:1
Amount Won:  ◢10
Amount Lost:  ◢10
Open Bets:  ◢0
Net Total:  ◢115
Amount Won:  ◢15
Amount Lost:  ◢45
Open Bets:  ◢15
Net Total:  ◢100
Amount Won:  ◢7
Amount Lost:  ◢24.5
Open Bets:  ◢9
Net Total:  ◢49

Gameday, 5/18: Week 2 - The Ponds

GAMES 1 & 2   —   12:00 PM   —   FIELD A
2 - 2 - 0
.171 .514 8.8 6.67 2.67 1.3
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
1 - 2 - 1
.143 .265 24.5 2.57 0.64 13.0
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 1
0
LP: Paquin (0-2)
2
WP: Strojny (1-0)
HR: Strojny (2)
GAME 2
5
WP: Castle (2-0)
HR: Paquin (1), Werner (1)
3
LP: Zeller (0-2)
HR: Strojny (3), Corbett (1)
GAMES 3 & 4   —   12:00 PM   —   FIELD B
0 - 4 - 0
.100 .100 N/A 10.17 2.61 1.5
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
3 - 1 - 0
.333 .667 12.0 4.80 2.30 1.2
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 3  * 7 innings *
0
LP: C. Skinner (0-2)
2
WP: C. Phillips (2-0)
HR: Tomlinson (2)
GAME 4
3
LP: Linebrink (0-1)
HR: Linebrink (1)
9
WP: Tomlinson (1-0)
HR: Brown (1,2)
GAMES 5 & 6   —   2:30 PM   —   FIELD A
3 - 3 - 0
.129 .371 12.4 2.00 1.81 2.1
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
4 - 2 - 0
.333 .667 12.0 4.80 2.30 1.2
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 5
1
LP: Bayley (1-2)
4
WP: C. Phillips (3-0)
HR: Tomlinson (3)
GAME 6
4
WP: Hatt (2-0)
HR: Hatt (1)
1
LP: Ray Brown (0-2)
GAMES 7 & 8   —   2:30 PM   —   FIELD B
5 - 0 - 1
.169 .303 29.7 0.92 1.19 2.8
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
2 - 4 - 0
.171 .514 8.8 6.67 2.67 1.3
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 7
9
WP: John Skinner (1-0)
HR: P. Baker (1,2), Villarreal (1)
4
LP: Paquin (0-3)
HR: Nagorski (3), Paquin (1)
GAME 8
15
WP: Villarreal (3-0)
HR: Villarreal (2,3), J. Skinner (3)
  G. Brannan (2), G. Baker (1)
4
LP: Castle (2-1)
HR: Nagorski (4)
GAMES 9 & 10   —   5:00 PM   —   FIELD A
4 - 4 - 0
.129 .371 12.4 2.00 1.81 2.1
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
2 - 3 - 1
.143 .265 24.5 2.57 0.64 13.0
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 9
3
LP: Bayley (1-3)
HR: LaDouceur (3), Lollio (1)
5
WP: Strojny (2-0)
HR: Corbett (2)
GAME 10
4
WP: Hatt (3-0)
HR: Lollio (2,3)
3
LP: Irwin (0-1)
HR: Strojny (4)
GAMES 11 & 12   —   5:00 PM   —   FIELD B
5 - 2 - 1
.169 .303 29.7 0.92 1.19 2.8
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
2 - 4 - 0
.100 .100 N/A 10.17 2.61 1.5
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 11
1
LP: J. Skinner (1-1)
HR: G. Brannan (3)
5
WP: C. Skinner (1-2)
HR: Bruen (1)
GAME 12
1
LP: Villarreal (3-1)
2
WP: Bruen (1-1)
Linebrink (2), Giguere (1)

Week 1 Power Rankings

 

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

At worst it's bad form for power rankings to mirror the standings. At best it's boring. We'll try not to be boring, but the Wicked Aces 3-0-1 start demands the top spot. Kujawa and Villarreal combined for 0.92 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over the first four games. To bring a storyline to the table: the Aces are 9-0-1 if you go back to July 21, 2018. The last team to beat them was the Stinky Nuts, who swept. The Aces' sweep of the Nuts this past weekend makes for a nice bookend to that chapter. Big test coming up for the Aces when they'll be without Kujawa for their next six games.

King Friday at #2. Told you we'd try not to be boring! Yes, they were outscored 8-10 in their split series with El Diablos, and maybe sound logic says they should be #4. The reason we give the edge to Friday over the other two .500 teams, though, is that they played with a three-man lineup and without the ace of their rotation. El Diablos and Stinky Nuts both had their top two arms in play. Adding Braden to Friday's rotation and lineup seems like the biggest boost for any of the .500 teams, and we're betting futures here.

Slide El Diablos into the third spot, barely behind Friday. Basically touching. Picture the two teams spooning: El Diablos as the big spoon. If we were power ranking players, Chandler would be #1 with a bullet: pitched a shutout, hit like a maniac (.667 AVG, 2.325 OPS). El Diablos offense as a whole is strong, as expected. The concern is with the second arm in the rotation after Brown had a rough outing. Can't depend on Fisher to fill that roll full-time. Of course, given better conditions Brown could turn things around for an impact similar to what Braden brings for Friday. Like we said: big spoon.

The general consensus on Stinky Nuts is that at full strength this team is a force. We tend to agree, but the team was at full-strength, at least with their pitching, when they dropped both games to the Aces. They blew a 1-0 lead in the last inning of that first game, then gave up early runs in the following game and their bats couldn't climb back into it. That's the main point: it's hard to rank the Nuts higher up this board when they have a .129 team batting average.

Back in line with the standings and boring at the bottom: Redux in spot number five. The Dux highlight is the 8 scoreless innings pitched by Strojny. Irwin, in his rookie debut, also pitched two perfect innings. Zeller led the offense with 3 hits, but their two runs scored came on two solo shots. As the old [read: "rather recent"] adage goes, "nothing loses a game faster than solo home runs." So, the preseason predictions seem on point: promising pitching prospects, but bum bats.

At the bottom we have the Islanders. Unable to plate a single run. They did scatter three hits among three players; still, it's hard to draw a silver lining from that. Skinner, pitching in the ace role, surrendered 2 R on 2 H and 4 BB. Not necessarily bad… except when the lineup's not scoring any runs. Their second arm is cause for more concern. Bruen got shelled for 10 R, and Adams threw one pitch, which ended up over the fence for the walk-off mercy. If we're offering advice, 2 steps: 1) find a way to score runs, then 2) sort out the situation with second pitcher.

WSEM Pickers: Week 1

Week 1 Picks on the Board:
1. O/U 52.5 Total RS (all games)  —  2. First pitch of the season  —  3. ISL @ STN series result  —  4. DUX @ ACE series result  —  5. ACE @ STN series result  —  6. FRI @ ELD series result  —  7. 0/U 29.5 K in Game 3 (Strojny vs. Kujawa)  —  8. Player with most H in FRI @ ELD series  —  9. First RBI of the season comes via 1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB

Year End Picks on the Board:
A. Rookie of the Year:  Burchfield (5:2),  P. Baker (3:1),  Patterson (3:1),  Moore (4:1),  Irwin (5:1),  G. Baker (8:1)

Click here to see all lines and odds.
DAVID   ◢100
MARK   ◢100
ZAC   ◢100
Pick:
ACE/STN series split
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 1:1
Dakota throws a gem and hits 4 home runs.
Pick:
1st RBI via BB
Bet: ◢10
Odds: 3:2
Skinner forgets his juul and has the shakes.
Pick:
1st Pitch = Ball
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 1:2
Pick:
Over 29.5 K, Strojny vs Kujawa
Bet: ◢15
Odds: 1:1
I don’t think a single ball will be put in play this game.
Pick:
FRI/ELD most H = C. Phillips
Bet: ◢15
Odds: 2:1
Werner and Castle will get pooped on. Paquin will have to come in and clean them up.
Pick:
FRI/ELD most H = Brown
Bet: ◢11
Odds: 3:1
Pick:
FRI/ELD most H = C. Phillips
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 2:1
CJ stays hot after his triple crown season.
Pick:
1st Pitch = Ball
Bet: ◢50
Odds: 1:2
Bayley will still have last nights nut on his hand. Cleans it off and doesn't throw another ball the rest of the game.
Pick:
1st RBI via HR
Bet: ◢7
Odds: 2:1
Pick:
ROTY = Burchfield
Bet: ◢5
Odds: 5:2
Pick:
ROTY = Patterson
Bet: ◢9
Odds: 3:1
Amount Won:  ◢25
Amount Lost:  ◢5
Open Bets:  ◢5
Net Total:  ◢115
Amount Won:  ◢55
Amount Lost:  ◢10
Open Bets:  ◢0
Net Total:  ◢145
Amount Won:  ◢2.5
Amount Lost:  ◢18
Open Bets:  ◢9
Net Total:  ◢75.5

Gameday, 5/4: Week 1 - Phillips Field

GAMES 1 & 2   —   12:00 PM   —   FIELD A
0 - 2 - 0
.230 .411 21.16 2.82 1.43 2.74
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
2 - 0 - 0
.234 .400 16.50 2.26 1.48 2.27
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 1
0
LP: C. Skinner (0-1)
2
WP: Bayley (1-0)
HR Bayley (1)
GAME 2
0
LP: Bruen (0-1)
11
WP: Hatt (1-0)
HR: LaDouceur (1,2), Burchfield (1)
GAMES 3 & 4   —   12:00 PM   —   FIELD B
0 - 1 - 1
.205 .405 17.79 2.63 1.40 3.31
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
1 - 0 - 1
.257 .492 14.78 2.36 1.59 2.16
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 3  * 8 innings *
0
0
GAME 4
2
LP: Zeller (0-1)
HR: Zeller (1), Strojny (1)
6
WP: Villarreal (1-0)
HR: J. Skinner (1,2), G. Brannan (1)
GAMES 5 & 6   —   2:30 PM   —   FIELD A
3 - 0 - 1
.257 .492 14.78 2.36 1.59 2.16
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
2 - 2 - 0
.234 .400 16.50 2.26 1.48 2.27
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 5
4
WP: Kujawa (1-0)
1
LP: Bayley (1-1)
HR: Bayley (2)
GAME 6
3
WP: Villarreal (2-0)
1
LP: Lollio (0-1)
GAMES 7 & 8   —   2:30 PM   —   FIELD B
1 - 1 - 0
.257 .492 14.78 2.36 1.59 2.16
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
1 - 1 - 0
.234 .400 16.50 2.26 1.48 2.27
AVG SLG AB/HR ERA WHIP K/BB
GAME 5
0
LP: Paquin (0-1)
5
WP: C. Phillips (1-0)
HR: C. Phillips (1,2)
GAME 6
8
WP: Castle (1-0)
HR: Castle (1,2), Nagorski (1,2)
5
LP: Brown (0-1)
HR: Tomlinson (1)